Notes on the Economy – Q4 2023 Summary
Financial market participants now seem to believe inflation will be successfully suppressed without a recession. Well, maybe.
Financial market participants now seem to believe inflation will be successfully suppressed without a recession. Well, maybe.
Here are three rays of sunshine in an otherwise dreary global economy.
The U.S. debt crisis is growing—here’s what you can do about it.
Interest rates—to raise or not to raise—one more time? That is the question facing the Fed.
China’s economic doldrums likely won’t make the U.S. or the world better off in the long run.
Three ways in which the U.S. economy could botch the soft landing and fall into recession.
Economic growth is robust, the unemployment rate is at a 54-year low, the stock market is up over 15% year-to-date! What could possibly go wrong?
New federal-debt law will do little to roll back government spending and have only a small impact on U.S. GDP growth.
It would not take much to push the economy into a downturn serious enough to warrant a recession label.
Politicians bickering over the debt ceiling would never intentionally push America off the fiscal cliff, risking economic calamity, or would they?